The Government of India has released its 2016-17 Economic Survey, with its eagerly awaited chapter on UBI. The discussion is largely favorable, declaring it time for “serious deliberation” about a UBI for India.
Each year, the Ministry of Finance of the Government of India releases a document called the Economic Survey,
which reviews and analyzes developments in the nation’s economy. The
Economic Survey is made publically available (its official website
promotes it to “policymakers, economists, policy analysts, business
practitioners, government agencies, students, researchers, the media,
and all those interested in the development in the Indian economy”), and
is presented to the Indian Parliament during its budget session.
Arvind Subramanian CC BY-SA 2.0 PopTech
Last September, Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian announced that the
2016-17 Economic Survey would contain a chapter on universal basic
income (UBI), making the document hotly anticipated among UBI supporters
and others following the movement. (Sensationalized reporting led some
early reports to claim, mistakenly, that India was about to launch UBI.)
The 2016-17 Economic Survey, with its 40-page chapter “Universal Basic Income: A Conversation With and Within the Mahatma,” was officially released on January 31, 2017.
Its discussion on UBI is framed around the question of whether Mahatma
Gandhi would have endorsed UBI, a question that Subramanian anticipated
in comments to an inter-faith prayer meeting last
fall. (The main conclusion, presented on the first page, is that he
would have been conflicted; a bit more is said in the final section, but
I shan’t spoil the ending.)
The tone of the chapter is highly sympathetic to UBI, and the Ministry
of Finance calls UBI a “powerful idea whose time even if not ripe for
implementation is ripe for serious discussion.”
BIEN co-founder Guy Standing, who conducted basic income pilot studies in India earlier in the decade, was among those who provided input to Indian government for the survey. Standing states,
This is the first major government that has come out with an official favourable report on basic income, and has shown that it is feasible. It recognises the political obstacles and the challenges of rolling it out. We are delighted that the team writing the chapter in the Economic Report have drawn on our basic income pilots in Madhya Pradesh, which are still the biggest such pilots to have been conducted, as shown in our recent book.
In India, UBI has become popular largely as a potential solution to the
misallocation, leakages, and corruption in the country’s extensive and
complex system of targeted in-kind benefits to the poor. The Economic
Survey describes these problems in presenting the argument for UBI in
India. In addition, it considers the potential for UBI to promote
individual agency. Paid to individuals instead of households, it could
be particularly effective in empowering women.
The authors also cite empirical studies to assuage worries that UBI
would discourage work or promote the consumption of temptation goods
like tobacco, alcohol, and paan.
While the discussion of UBI is largely favorable, the authors
acknowledge practical difficulties in implementing the scheme
nationwide, including fiscal constraints and resistance to eliminating
current programs (most of which, according to the survey, must be
eliminated if UBI is to be financially feasible). Additionally, the
survey notes that there may be popular resistance to full universality —
especially the transferring of money those already well-off. To address
the latter issue, it suggests abandoning true universality (“excluding
the non-deserving” from receiving the benefit), and proposes several
mechanisms to discourage the well-off from accepting UBI payments.
Due to these and other practical difficulties, the chapter favors the
introduction of UBI in a gradual manner. It presents three possible
starting points: (1) offer an unconditional basic income as an optional
alternative to recipients of existing subsidies (with the caveat that
this approach would not remedy problems in targeting the poor or
allocating money to districts commensurate with need); (2) provide a
“UBI for women”; (3) provide a basic income that is “universal”
only within certain vulnerable populations, such as the elderly, widows,
mothers, or those with disabilities or illnesses.
In all cases, the authors note, effective implementation of the scheme
would be hampered by the fact that many poor citizens do not have bank
accounts or ready access to banks. Thus, a prerequisite is the full
implementation of the Jan Dhan, Aadhaar, Mobile (JAM) scheme, which
would provide all Indians with a bank account and the ability to receive
funds electronically, through a mobile phone.
Read the full chapter here.
Plus a Bonus in Chapter 13…
In addition to including a dedicated chapter on UBI, the Economic Survey
broached the idea of a sovereign wealth fund and citizen’s dividend, a
type of UBI, in a later chapter titled “The ‘Other Indias’: Two
Analytical Narratives (Redistributive and Natural Resources) on States’
Development”.
Goan mines, CC BY 2.0 Abhisek Sarda
The chapter refers to the Goa Iron Ore Permanent Fund, which was created
by a Supreme Court order in 2012. The state of Goa, which is rich in
mineral deposits, has been plagued with corrupt and controversial mining
practices. Under the 2012 court order, a portion of the money received
from sales of iron ore must be placed into a permanent fund to preserve
for future generations. The Goenchi Mati Movement, whose member Rahul
Basu provided input to
the Economic Survey, demands an expansion of the fund and the
distribution of its revenue in equal cash payments to all Goans.
The Economic Survey states:
One way to increase citizens’ participation is via creation of a dedicated Fund to which all mining revenue must accrue. The assumption here is that minerals are part of the commons, owned by the state as trustee for the people – including future generations. Therefore, the revenue from the natural resources should be saved in a non-wasting asset – in a Permanent Fund. The real income accrued by the Fund can be redistributed to citizens affected by and having a stake in the extraction of the resource.
Basu remarked, “We are happy that the Government of India is also
considering implementing the core principles of the Goenchi Mati
Movement. We hope the people and the politicians of Goa also keep the
use of our natural resources and land at the core of their voting
choices for the assembly elections [on February 4, 2017].”
